Here are OddsFanatic’s 2021 NHL Picks Matchday 3 for you!
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Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+125) Lightning (-145)
In their previous game, the Panthers were on the winning side with a 5-1 win against the Islanders. In the victory, Florida showed off a strong offensive performance. They scored a goal on 5 of the 29 shots they took in the game. The team also had one power play, but they were unable to score. In the last meeting Florida incurred six penalty minutes against to the Lightning. The Panthers’ Corsi was 64 and their Corsi against was 41, for a total of 61 percent. Their ultimate Fenwick was 43, while their overall finish was at 31. As a result, they had a 58.1 percent win rate. When away from the zone, they accumulated 21 face-offs wins and lost on 30 attempts to seize puck possession. The Panthers’ offensive zone starts were at 49.7 percent, while their PDO was 117.2 for this game.
The Florida Panthers’ offensive performance has remained solid this season, as they have scored 10 goals (4th in the NHL) and allowed 5 (10th). They are currently at 4 points for the season, with a points percentage of 1.000. Florida enters the game with 7 power play opportunities and has yet to score any goals, giving them a percentage of 0%. At even strength, the Panthers have allowed 2 goals while scoring 10 on their own. Florida has taken 68 shots and has a shooting percentage of 14.7 percent. The Panthers have allowed 77 shots and a save percentage of .935. The Florida Panthers opposing teams have 13 power plays (first in pro hockey) and have score three goals on those opportunities.
Spencer Knight is the crease player for this clash. During his career in hockey, Knight has recorded 1 good starts and a .333 quality start percentage. In his 207 minutes on ice, he has a save percentage of .919. All told, he has faced 99 shot attempts and recorded 91 saves. In his professional career, Knight has allowed opponents to score eight goals against him and his goals against average is 2.32. He has a current record of 4-0-0 and has started three games. During his hockey career, Spencer Knight has played in four games.
Last match, the Lightning faced off against the Capitals in a game that resulted in a 2-1 victory for Tampa Bay. They had just one power play opportunity in this game, but they were unable to score a goal. The Lightning attempted 24 shots on goal and scored two goals. Their even-strength PDO was 105, and they registered a 49.3 oZS percentage in the game. The Lightning boasted a Corsi rating of 54.0 percent. Corsi numbers tell us the tale of the game Tampa Bay played, and the statistics show that they didn’t play well as a team. The Lightning’s Fenwick rate ended up being a whopping 53.5% since they had a Fenwick of 38, while the Capitals finished the game with a 33 Fenwick.
The Lightning have scored 11 goals and four points so far in this NHL season. They also boast a percentage of .667 in terms of point production. Tampa Bay have allowed 13 goals, giving up 12 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they were short-handed. The Lightning have scored eight even-strength goals and three power-play goals (sixth in NHL) this season. They have a combined 9 power play chances and a 33.33% power play percentage so far this season. Tampa Bay has taken 100 shots (4th in the NHL) and recorded a shot percentage of 11.00 percent, while allowing the opposition to shoot 94 times. The Lightning have a penalty kill percentage of 90% on their opponents 10 power play chances, and they currently have an 86.2 save percentage.
Andrei Vasilevskiy is the Tampa Bay Lightning’s starting goaltender. The opposition is scoring an average of 2.51 goals per game, and he has given up 746 goals in his career. Vasilevskiy has a 55.9 percent quality start percentage in the NHL, and he has made 165 in his professional career. He has played in 295 games and accumulated 17,814 minutes. Vasilevskiy has a career mark of 192-84-19 and has played in 305 games. He has stopped 8,516 of the 9,262 shots he’s faced, giving him a save percentage of .919.
Who will win the Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Pick: Take Florida (+125)
Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+100) Blackhawks (-120)
In their last game, the Islanders suffered a 5-1 loss against the Panthers. In the loss, the Islanders didn’t have their best offensive performance. On 1 of 30 attempts to score in the game, they scored only one goal. They also had 4 chances with more players on the ice and were able to score one goal. In this game, New York incurred 12 penalty minutes. The Islanders’ Corsi was at 41, with a Corsi against of 64 at the end of the game, indicating that they had a 39.0% Corsi rate. Their Fenwick was 31, while their opponent’s was 43, implying a 41.9 percent Fenwick rate for New York. The Islanders won only 30 face-offs at even strength. They were beaten on 21 opportunities to control the puck. For them, the offensive zone begins at 50.3 percent and they had an 82.8 PDO against the Panthers.
The New York Islanders have had 6 power play chances (20th in the NHL) and have scored two goals on those chances. The Islanders have allowed 70 shots and possess a save percentage of .843. New York has taken 58 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 6.9 percent. At even strength, the Islanders have given up nine goals while scoring three. The Islanders have had 7 power play opportunities and scored one goal out of those attempts, resulting in a 14.29% success rate. The New York Islanders have scored 4 goals (27th in hockey) this season, while giving up 11.
Semyon Varlamov is in goal for the Avalanche. Varlamov has made 286 quality starts in his professional career, with a quality starts percentage of .566. During his 30,305 minutes between the pipes, he has a save percentage of .916. Varlamov has faced 15,859 shots and saved 14,532 of them. In his professional career, Varlamov has faced 1,327 goals against and a 2.63 goals against average. He has won 251 games, lost 194, and tied 60. He has started 505 games in his career. Varlamov has played in 529 regular-season games in his professional hockey career.
In their last bout, the Chicago Blackhawks fell to the Pittsburgh Penguins by a score of 5-2. Their PDO was 87 and their oZS percentage was 30.5 percent. In the previous game, they had three power play chances and scored just one goal out of those opportunities. The Penguins finished with a 31 Fenwick at even strength, while the Blackhawks amassed a 36.7% Fenwick rate. The Blackhawks were able to score two goals out of the 20 shots on goal they attempted. The team also had a 44.3 percent Corsi rating in the last game. The Corsi rating reveals how well a team played in terms of the amount of shots it took and allowed, as well as the percentage of those that resulted in goals. It tells us that Chicago didn’t perform well throughout the game.
The Chicago Blackhawks are sitting with 7 goals and 1 point thus far this 2021 NHL season. They’ve let 13 even-strength goals be scored in the meantime, resulting in a total of 13 goals. The Blackhawks have scored three goals at even strength and four goals on the power play (3rd in professional hockey). They’ve generated a total of 11 power play opportunities and have a power play rate of 36.36 percent. Chicago has attempted 81 shots this season, which is ninth in the NHL. The Blackhawks have a shooting percentage of 8.64 percent and have allowed 91 attempts. They’ve had a penalty kill percentage of 100 percent. Their save percentage is 85.7 percent.
In the midst of the ice, you may expect to see Marc-Andre Fleury in goal. He has stopped 22,865 out of the 25,042 shots directed against him for a success rate of .913. Fleury has a career record of 492 wins, 278 losses, and 82 ties in 885 appearances. He has started in 729 games and accumulated 51,172 minutes of action. The quality start percentage for Fleury is 55.3 percent, and he has accumulated 403 quality starts in his NHL career. NHL Teams are averaging 2.55 goals per game, and he has conceded 2,177 goals throughout his career.
Who will win the New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Pick: Take New York (+100)
Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (+110) Capitals (-133)
After suffering a 5-3 loss to the Blues in their previous game, the Avalanche will look to clean up some problems. The Avalanche’s Corsi was 59, and its Corsi against was 37 as the game wound down, for a total of 61.5%. Their offensive zone started well, registering a 53.2 percent success rate and a 92 in PDO rating. Colorado got 11 minutes of penalties in this game. In the loss, the Avalanche had an average offensive performance. The Avalanche’s Fenwick was 44 and the opponent’s was 29, resulting in a 60.3% Fenwick percentage for them. At even strength, they won 27 face-offs and lost 26. However, their 3 power-play opportunities were unsuccessful. They recorded three out of the 32 shots they fired in the game.
The Colorado Avalanche have scored 7 goals (tied for 13th in the NHL) this season and surrendered 7. They currently have two points and a points percentage of .500 for the 2021 professional hockey season. Colorado has generated 7 power-play chances thus far in this year’s campaign. The Avalanche have allowed five goals while scoring seven in their two games. Colorado has fired off 68 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.3 percent thus far in the tournament. The Avalanche have faced 62 shots and a save percentage of .887. The Colorado Avalanche’s opponents have scored two goals on five power-play chances (25th in professional hockey).
The goaltender for this game is Darcy Kuemper. Kuemper’s professional hockey career includes 128 quality starts and a quality start percentage of .564. For his 13,716 minutes on the ice, he has a .917 save percentage. Kuemper has seen 6,791 pucks directed his way and has saved 6,225. In his career, Kuemper has faced 566 goals against and has allowed 2.48 goals per game. He has a win-loss record of 107-84-32 and was tabbed the starter in 227 games. In his professional hockey career, Kuemper has dressed for 244 games.
In their most recent bout, the Capitals were beaten by a final score of 2-1 by the Lightning. On the other hand, the Washington had 4 power-play opportunities in this series and were unable to score. The Capitals scored 1 goal out of the 33 shots on target they attempted. The offense has a PDO of 96 and an oZS percentage of 51.0. The Capitals ended the game with a 46.0% Corsi rating. The fact that these Corsi statistics are biased in the direction of the Tampa Bay Lightning indicates how poor Washington was. The Capitals had a Fenwick of 33 and a percentage of 46.5% with the Lightning earning a 38 Fenwick at even strength.
The Washington Capitals have scored six goals and three points for a percentage of .750 this season. They have given up three goals total, all of which have been scored by a combination of two at even strength and one while they were short. The Capitals have scored three even-strength goals and three (8th in the league) while having more players on the ice. They’ve had 10 power play opportunities and have converted 30 percent of them. Washington has taken 60 shots (19th in the NHL) and boasted a shot percentage of 10%. They’ve given up 48, however. On the other teams’ six power plays, they have a penalty kill percentage of 83.33% and a save percentage of 93.8%.
You can anticipate to see Ilya Samsonov in goal. 29-10-3 is his career record as a pro. He has played in 45 games. Ilya Samsonov’s 50 percent quality start rate is impressive, but his 20-for-20 career record as a starting goaltender in the NHL might be even more so. He has made 1,079 defensive stops out of the 1,188 shots directed his way, for a percentage of .908. His opponents are putting up 2.61 goals on average, and he has given up 109 altogether. He has played 40 games as a starter and 2,504 minutes of ice time.
Who will win the Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Parlay Pick: Take Washington (-133) and under 6.5 goals
Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (+145) Oilers (-175)
The Anaheim Ducks will try to win their next game after a 2-1 defeat to the Wild in their most recent match. The Ducks’ Corsi percentage was 36, and the Corsi against them when the match ended was 61. Their Corsi rate was 37.1 percent. Their offensive zone starts were 28.6 percent and their PDO was 97.0 in this contest. For this game, the Ducks were penalized 23 minutes.
The Ducks’ offense could have played considerably better in the defeat. The official statistics tell us that the Ducks’ Fenwick was 26 while the opponent’s was 48, resulting in a 35.1 percent. They won 23 face-offs at even strength and were beaten on 20 opportunities to gain puck possession. They also had four power plays and were able to score just one goal. For the game, they managed to score on 1 of the 29 shots they looked to do so.
In terms of their scoring, the Anaheim Ducks have scored 5 goals so far this season (tied for 22nd in pro hockey) and given up 3. For the current campaign, they have two points and a points percentage of .500. Anaheim has 9 power play opportunities and three goals have been scored out of those attempts, resulting in a success rate of 33.33%. At even strength, the Ducks have given up two goals while scoring two on the offensive side of the ice. The Ducks have attempted 51 shots and have a 9.8 percent shooting percentage so far this season. They have faced 77 shots and have a save percentage of .961. The Anaheim Ducks’ opponents have gotten ten power plays (9th in professional hockey) and scored once.
Anthony Stolarz is the man defending the goal in this game. Stolarz has allowed 84 goals in his professional career, with a goals against average of 2.76. Stolarz has skated in 35 professional games to date. For his 1,828 minutes on the ice, he has a save percentage of .915. He has a win-loss record of 10-11-4 and was named the starter in 25 games. Stolarz has made 14 quality starts in his NHL career, with a quality starts percentage of .560. The goalie has been beaten 993 times and has saved 909.
The Oilers defeated the Flames 5-2 in their last match when they took the ice. Edmonton ended this game with a 38.7% Corsi percentage. The Corsi rating measures the number of shots for and against, with an emphasis on the latter. We believe that this is a good indicator of how the Oilers played in each game. And they performed well. Their Fenwick percentage of 41.6 percent was achieved by posting a Fenwick of 32 and the Flames recording a 45 at even strength. The statistician added up all the details on his spreadsheet, which included their oZS percentage of 42.7 percent and their PDO of 109. The Oilers scored 5 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power-play opportunities in this contest and scored two goals out of those chances.
The Edmonton Oilers have scored a total of seven goals and four points throughout the season. They’ve given up four goals in total, with two coming at even strength and two while they had fewer men on the ice. The Oilers have scored four goals at even strength and three power-play goals, which is fourth in the NHL. They’ve had six power play chances and a power play success rate of 50%. The Oilers have fired off 67 pucks (18th in professional hockey), with an 10.45 percent shot percentage, while giving up just 85 shots. They have a 77.78 percent success rate on nine opponents’ power plays, and their save percentage is currently at 95.3 percent.
Mike Smith is on the other end, protecting the goal. He has stopped 17,150 of the 18,800 shots he’s faced, giving him a save percentage of 9.12%. He is known for his longevity, having appeared in 644 games. His lifetime career record is 285-254-76. He has played 602 games and accumulated 36,805 minutes in his career. Smith owns a 53.5 percent quality start percentage and has qualified for 322 quality starts in his professional career. Teams are scoring 2.69 goals per game, and he has given up 1,650 goals in his career.
Who will win the Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Pick: Take Anaheim (+145)
Odds/Point Spread: Sharks (+110) Canadiens (-130)
The San Jose Sharks won their previous game, defeating the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. In the offensive zone, the Sharks generated 44.6 percent of their scoring chances and had an even-strength PDO of 94.2 in this game. At even strength, they won 24 face-offs and lost 15 tries. They had a 54.7 percent Fenwick percentage, while the Sharks were 29 and the Jets 24. The Sharks had a Corsi of 41 and a Corsi against of 43 after the final buzzer, with their Corsi percentage at 48.8%. San Jose had 17 minutes in box possession in this game. Furthermore, they had 5 power play opportunities and were able to score two goals. The Sharks had a strong offensive performance, which was evident in this victory. In the game, they converted 4 of the 31 tries they launched.
The Sharks have allowed 23 shots and a save percentage of .870. San Jose have given up three goals while scoring two on offense while playing at even strength. They have allowed three power play opportunities against, but have not concede a goal in any of them. For the season, they have two points and a points percentage of 1.000. The Sharks have attempted 31 shots and are currently on a 12.9 shooting percentage. San Jose Sharks have scored four goals (24th in the NHL) in the 2021 NHL season so far and given up three. The Sharks have 5 power play opportunities and have scored 2 goals out of those chances for a total of 40%.
Sharks’ goalie in this game is Adin Hill. In his professional career, Hill has faced opposition with a goals-against average of 2.79 and 123 goals against him, according to the league. During his NHL career, Hill has appeared in 50 games. With a save percentage of .909, he has been an outstanding performer during his 2,644 minutes on the ice. He owns a career record of 20 wins, 21 losses, and four ties in 42 starts. In his professional hockey career, Hill has 19 quality starts and a .452 percentage of quality starts. He has faced 1,347 shots and made 1,224 saves.
In their previous game, the Canadiens lost 3-1 against the Rangers. Their oZS percentage was 67.6 percent, and their PDO was 94. They had three power-play chances in this game, but they were unable to score on any of them. Their Fenwick ratio was 53.6 percent, with a Fenwick of 30, and the Rangers ended the game with a 26-Fenwick at even strength. The Canadiens attempted 32 shots on goal and scored one goal. Montreal recorded a 55.7 percent Corsi rating in their most recent game. The Corsi percentage for this game reflects the type of game Montreal played and we’d characterize it as a poor performance in all.
The Canadiens have scored three even-strength goals and zero power play goals (32nd in the NHL). Montreal has attempted 95 shots (5th in the NHL) and have a shooting percentage of 3.16%, while giving up 90 attempts. The Montreal Canadiens have scored a total of three goals this season. They have 11 opportunities to score on the power play. On its opponents’ 13 power play opportunities, Montreal’s penalty kill has saved 61.54 percent of the time, with an 88.9 percent save percentage. They’ve given up 10 goals at even strength and five while shorthanded.
You can look for Jake Allen in goal across the ice. Teams are scoring 2.52 goals per game, and he has surrendered 752 in total. Over his professional hockey career, he has made 162 quality starting assignments and produced a rate of 54.0%. He’s been in the rink for 17,926 minutes and has started in 300 games. Allen is the owner of a career mark of 159-108-31 and has played in 320 games. He has stopped 7,797 out of the 8,551 shots he has faced for a save percentage of .912.
Who will win the San Jose Sharks at Montreal Canadiens NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Pick: Take Montreal (-130)
Odds/Point Spread: Canucks (-120) Sabres (+100)
The Canucks fell 3-1 to the Red Wings in their previous game. They had a PDO of 91.7 at even strength, yet they were only successful 78.2% of the time when starting in the offensive zone this period. When playing at even strength, Vancouver earned 23 face-off victories and were thwarted 29 times in attempts to possess the puck. With a score of 47 and a 20 against, the Fenwick percentage was 70.1%, according to the collected stats. Vancouver had a Corsi rate of 66 and a Corsi rate against of 30 when everything was said and done, which translates to an 68.8% Corsi percentage. Vancouver gained 26 penalty minutes in this game. Finally, they had three opportunities with the advantage but didn’t convert them into a goal. The Canucks had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the loss. In the game, they scored one of the 41 shots on goal.
The Vancouver Canucks have recorded seven goals (12th in hockey) this season and given up nine (19th). They’ve recorded three points in the current campaign, with a percentage of .500. During power plays, the Canucks have 12 opportunities and three goals, for a percentage of 25.00%. The Vancouver Canucks have allowed six goals while scoring four during 5-on-5 play. The Vancouver Canucks have taken 118 shots and have a shooting percentage of 5.9 percent thus far this season. The Canucks have faced 90 shots and a save percentage of .900. The Vancouver Canucks have given up 7 power-play goals (16th in hockey) and 3 goals on those opportunities.
In this game, the player defending the goal is Thatcher Demko. During his professional hockey career, opponents have scored 212 goals against Demko and his goals against average is 2.93 per game. Demko is a quality NHL goaltender. He has appeared in 74 NHL games. In his 4,340 minutes on the ice in his career, he has a .911 save percentage. He has a career record of 35-31-5 and he’s started in 71 games. During his NHL career, Demko has 41 quality starts and a .577 percentage of quality starts. The Vancouver Canucks’ netminder has faced 2,373 shots and made 2,161 saves during his NHL career.
In their previous match, the Sabres defeated the Coyotes by a score of 2-1. The Sabres had two power-play chances in this game, and they scored once out of those possibilities. Buffalo scored two goals out of their 33 shot attempts. Their PDO was 94, and their oZS percentage was 60.0 percent. The Sabres had a 60.3 percent Corsi rating. Corsi numbers for the Sabres are telling of the sort of game that they played, and you might conclude that they will have a bounce-back performance in their next game. At even strength, their Fenwick percentage was 24, which translated to an overall Fenwick of 61.3 percent when they compiled a Fenwick of 38.
The Sabres have scored two even-strength goals and four (1st in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Buffalo has taken 69 shots, which is 15th in the NHL (8.70 percent shooting). The opponent has attempted 52 shots on goal. The Buffalo Sabres have scored only six goals this season, with four points and a percentage of 1.000. They’ve accumulated a total of 8 power play opportunities and have a power play percentage of 50%. They’ve registered a penalty-kill percentage of 100 percent on their opponents’ 6 power play attempts, and their save percentage is 96.2 percent. The Sabres allowed two goals on four opportunities (20 percent) at even strength, as well as zero goals while having less players on the ice.
Dustin Tokarski is likely to be stationed in front of the net when Sabres take the ice. He has saved 1,181 out of the 1,305 shots for a save percentage of .905. Dustin Tokarski has a career record of 13-20-7 and has played in 48 games. He has played in 38 games and accumulated 2,486 minutes of ice time. Tokarski’s percentage of quality starts is 47.4 percent, and he has amassed 18 quality starts in his NHL career. Teams are averaging 2.99 goals per game, and he has given up 124 goals in total.
Who will win the Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres NHL game against the spread?
Oddsfanatic’s Pick: Take Buffalo (+100)